Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 202.424917 235.282851 273.090199 320.106819 377.418489 445.535577 533.408021
2025-08-24 156.279623 196.626609 247.886848 318.883457 416.423803 548.392150 745.176616
2025-08-31 131.074455 173.892064 232.083727 319.023324 449.346975 643.865524 969.300393
2025-09-07 115.161302 159.293037 222.581627 323.175812 485.423739 749.108672 1238.471002
2025-09-14 98.948075 141.198707 204.294649 309.472525 489.164734 801.964184 1434.957292
2025-09-21 89.302754 131.183947 196.151424 309.481136 514.247692 895.915095 1740.021195
2025-09-28 82.017979 123.678173 190.577171 312.278642 544.067078 1005.490672 2120.088144
2025-10-05 79.161058 122.738564 195.358534 333.641685 612.853391 1211.799259 2816.388798
2025-10-12 76.005381 120.824875 198.059960 351.431410 678.508971 1432.252766 3670.401742
2025-10-19 70.461889 114.156099 191.405711 349.871026 702.672561 1563.936268 4349.663072
2025-10-26 67.228419 111.150546 190.975366 360.625166 756.750110 1788.827481 5477.062706
2025-11-02 63.655731 107.132268 188.092712 365.677179 798.603672 1996.557291 6705.821972
2025-11-09 59.931158 102.909649 185.184532 372.323907 852.102436 2278.590084 8588.593585
2025-11-16 55.655761 97.263733 178.877684 370.621442 885.150861 2520.338349 10625.530138
2025-11-23 52.067208 92.533867 173.787111 370.781552 923.725989 2803.080485 13300.024563
2025-11-30 49.289659 89.089224 170.914260 375.773716 978.275408 3177.441571 17198.192626
2025-12-07 45.120697 82.430161 160.297138 359.308906 962.644094 3271.459795 19394.764416
2025-12-14 42.619656 78.948953 156.270549 359.319242 1000.247515 3615.172238 24370.130227
2025-12-21 40.589416 76.247836 153.663725 362.678087 1050.644647 4054.711054 31535.739926
2025-12-28 40.147111 76.855857 158.730576 388.368467 1189.732079 5047.233133 48854.635716
2026-01-04 39.401120 76.723879 162.029773 409.814964 1323.159382 6153.943407 74833.801111
2026-01-11 37.411802 73.654363 157.814143 407.931951 1364.003254 6756.097125 96999.527739
2026-01-18 36.337729 72.543559 158.333371 420.916868 1473.375183 7941.145074 144507.668119